SPC Tornado Watch 127 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0127 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 127 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE BPT TO 35 N ESF TO 40 ENE MLU. ..DEAN..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 127 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC009-060440- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE AVOYELLES THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 127

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 127 TORNADO LA TX 052335Z - 060500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 127 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 635 PM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Central and Western Louisiana Southeast Texas * Effective this Saturday night from 635 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will remain possible across the watch area through the evening, with the strongest cells capable of damaging winds and a tornado or two. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 5 miles north northwest of Monroe LA to 70 miles southwest of Fort Polk LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 122...WW 123...WW 124...WW 125...WW 126... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Hart Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

1 month 2 weeks ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK CORR 1 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1148 AM CDT SAT APR 05 2025 CORRECTED FOR AREA ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Mid-South and Lower Mississippi Valley this afternoon and evening... * LOCATIONS... Western Tennessee Eastern Arkansas Northern Mississippi Northwest Alabama Louisiana East Texas * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered large hail, some baseball size * SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the Mid-South and lower Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe wind gusts are all possible. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 124 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0124 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 124 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E MKL TO 25 W CSV. WW 124 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 060200Z. ..SUPINIE..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...HUN...LMK...PAH...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 124 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC033-059-077-060200- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE TNC003-015-031-041-055-099-101-117-119-135-149-175-177-181-185- 060200- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEDFORD CANNON COFFEE DE KALB GILES LAWRENCE LEWIS MARSHALL MAURY PERRY RUTHERFORD VAN BUREN WARREN WAYNE WHITE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 060100Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO FAR NORTHWEST ALABAMA AND ADJACENT SOUTHERN TENNESSEE... ...SUMMARY... A broken line of storms with embedded bowing segments and supercells will continue east this evening/overnight through the parts of the Southeast into parts of the southern/central Appalachians. Strong tornadoes will remain possible in the Southeast and parts of the Mid-South. Large hail and damaging winds are also possible. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough in the Southwest will make eastward progress this evening into Sunday morning. A mid-level jet streak will pivot into Ozarks/Mid-South. Convection will continue to be focused along a surface boundary from near the Sabine Valley into Middle Tennessee and parts of the central Appalachians/upper Ohio Valley vicinity. ...Northeast Mississippi/Northwest Alabama and adjacent far southern Tennessee... The strongest ongoing storms are in northeast Mississippi where tornadoes have been observed. Rich moisture and locally backed surface winds are evident ahead of this activity. The 15% tornado probabilities have been adjusted for these storms. Given convective outflow in western/Middle Tennessee, it appears probable that some decrease in storm organization will eventually occur as storms interact with this outflow in Tennessee. ...Louisiana/Mississippi/Alabama... Convection should eventually make more progress eastward this evening into Sunday morning as the trough pushes eastward. Observed soundings from LCH/LIX/JAN showed large MLCAPE, but mid-level lapse became more modest with eastward extent. Forcing from the trough/surface front should allow scattered storms to continue eastward. Strong shear and moderate buoyancy ahead of the front should promote a risk for damaging winds, particularly with any bowing segments that can develop. Large hail may occur with the strongest discrete elements. Given the eastward shift and some intensification of 850 mb winds into Mississippi over the next few hours, low-level shear will remain strong and support a threat for tornadoes (some of which could be strong). ...Portions of southern/central Appalachians Vicinity... Diminishing buoyancy with northward and eastward extent should generally limit the severe threat in these areas. However, strong flow and continued push of the ongoing convective line could promote a marginal risk for isolated wind damage. ..Wendt.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 6, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 060100Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO FAR NORTHWEST ALABAMA AND ADJACENT SOUTHERN TENNESSEE... ...SUMMARY... A broken line of storms with embedded bowing segments and supercells will continue east this evening/overnight through the parts of the Southeast into parts of the southern/central Appalachians. Strong tornadoes will remain possible in the Southeast and parts of the Mid-South. Large hail and damaging winds are also possible. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough in the Southwest will make eastward progress this evening into Sunday morning. A mid-level jet streak will pivot into Ozarks/Mid-South. Convection will continue to be focused along a surface boundary from near the Sabine Valley into Middle Tennessee and parts of the central Appalachians/upper Ohio Valley vicinity. ...Northeast Mississippi/Northwest Alabama and adjacent far southern Tennessee... The strongest ongoing storms are in northeast Mississippi where tornadoes have been observed. Rich moisture and locally backed surface winds are evident ahead of this activity. The 15% tornado probabilities have been adjusted for these storms. Given convective outflow in western/Middle Tennessee, it appears probable that some decrease in storm organization will eventually occur as storms interact with this outflow in Tennessee. ...Louisiana/Mississippi/Alabama... Convection should eventually make more progress eastward this evening into Sunday morning as the trough pushes eastward. Observed soundings from LCH/LIX/JAN showed large MLCAPE, but mid-level lapse became more modest with eastward extent. Forcing from the trough/surface front should allow scattered storms to continue eastward. Strong shear and moderate buoyancy ahead of the front should promote a risk for damaging winds, particularly with any bowing segments that can develop. Large hail may occur with the strongest discrete elements. Given the eastward shift and some intensification of 850 mb winds into Mississippi over the next few hours, low-level shear will remain strong and support a threat for tornadoes (some of which could be strong). ...Portions of southern/central Appalachians Vicinity... Diminishing buoyancy with northward and eastward extent should generally limit the severe threat in these areas. However, strong flow and continued push of the ongoing convective line could promote a marginal risk for isolated wind damage. ..Wendt.. 04/06/2025 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 126 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0126 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 126 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N CSV TO 30 NW LOZ. ..SUPINIE..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...JKL... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 126 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC051-109-121-125-147-189-199-203-235-060140- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY JACKSON KNOX LAUREL MCCREARY OWSLEY PULASKI ROCKCASTLE WHITLEY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 126 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0126 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 126 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N CSV TO 30 NW LOZ. ..SUPINIE..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...JKL... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 126 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC051-109-121-125-147-189-199-203-235-060140- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY JACKSON KNOX LAUREL MCCREARY OWSLEY PULASKI ROCKCASTLE WHITLEY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 126

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 126 TORNADO KY 052315Z - 060300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 126 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 715 PM EDT Sat Apr 5 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeast Kentucky * Effective this Saturday evening from 715 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...A small but fast-moving bow echo will track into southeast Kentucky this afternoon, posing a risk of damaging wind gusts and perhaps a tornado. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 30 statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles west southwest of London KY to 25 miles east northeast of London KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 122...WW 123...WW 124...WW 125... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 24045. ...Hart Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 124 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0124 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 124 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E MKL TO 35 N CSV. ..SUPINIE..04/06/25 ATTN...WFO...HUN...LMK...PAH...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 124 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC033-059-077-060140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE TNC003-015-031-041-049-055-081-099-101-117-119-133-135-141-149- 175-177-181-185-187-060140- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEDFORD CANNON COFFEE DE KALB FENTRESS GILES HICKMAN LAWRENCE LEWIS MARSHALL MAURY OVERTON PERRY PUTNAM RUTHERFORD VAN BUREN WARREN WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 124

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 124 TORNADO AL KY TN 051845Z - 060200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 124 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 145 PM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northwest Alabama Southern Kentucky Western and Middle Tennessee * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A well-organized bow echo will continue east-northeastward this afternoon, while other semi-discrete supercells may develop ahead of it, and southward into the warm sector. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles north northwest of Muscle Shoals AL to 55 miles east of Nashville TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 122...WW 123... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 23040. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 122 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0122 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 122 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW LFK TO 40 E SHV TO 15 SE LLQ TO 15 ESE MEM TO 45 SSW CKV. ..DEAN..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 122 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC013-031-049-061-069-073-081-085-111-127-052340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE DE SOTO JACKSON LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER SABINE UNION WINN TXC005-403-405-052340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 122 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0122 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 122 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW LFK TO 40 E SHV TO 15 SE LLQ TO 15 ESE MEM TO 45 SSW CKV. ..DEAN..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 122 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC013-031-049-061-069-073-081-085-111-127-052340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE DE SOTO JACKSON LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER SABINE UNION WINN TXC005-403-405-052340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 123 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0123 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 123 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE PSX TO 25 E LFK. ..DEAN..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 123 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC011-115-060040- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BEAUREGARD VERNON TXC071-199-241-245-291-351-361-457-060040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAMBERS HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY NEWTON ORANGE TYLER GMZ335-430-060040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE GALVESTON BAY Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 123 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0123 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 123 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE PSX TO 25 E LFK. ..DEAN..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 123 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC011-115-060040- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BEAUREGARD VERNON TXC071-199-241-245-291-351-361-457-060040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAMBERS HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY NEWTON ORANGE TYLER GMZ335-430-060040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE GALVESTON BAY Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 123

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 123 TORNADO LA TX CW 051735Z - 060200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 123 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1235 PM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southwest Louisiana Southeast Texas Coastal Waters * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 1235 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Severe storms are expected to develop this afternoon initially across southeast Texas, before progressing into southwest Louisiana late this afternoon and evening. A moist/unstable environment will support the potential for all severe hazards, including tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles north of Port Arthur TX to 25 miles south of Houston TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 122... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 24025. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 125 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0125 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 125 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC003-017-052340- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY CHICOT LAC035-065-067-083-123-052340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE EAST CARROLL MADISON MOREHOUSE RICHLAND WEST CARROLL MSC003-009-011-013-015-017-025-043-051-053-055-057-071-081-083- 093-095-097-107-115-117-125-133-135-139-141-145-149-151-155-161- 163-052340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALCORN BENTON BOLIVAR CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW Read more

SPC MD 416

1 month 2 weeks ago
MD 0416 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 122... FOR FAR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND NORTHWEST ALABAMA.
Mesoscale Discussion 0416 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0314 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Areas affected...far northeast Louisiana...northern Mississippi and northwest Alabama. Concerning...Tornado Watch 122... Valid 052014Z - 052215Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 122 continues. SUMMARY...A line of storms with embedded supercells continues across eastern portions of watch 122. A downstream tornado watch will eventually be needed across northeast Louisiana, northern/central Mississippi and northwest Alabama. DISCUSSION...A line of storms with embedded supercells is slowly drifting east near the Arkansas/Mississippi border. SPC mesoanalysis shows 2500 J/kg MLCAPE ahead of this activity with 50 to 60 knots of effective shear. This will support a continued threat for supercells capable of all severe weather hazards. The JAN VWP currently shows a relatively straight low-level hodograph where deeper mixing has occurred. However, winds have remained more backed across northern Mississippi where some sheltering from upper-level clouds has occurred. Expect low-level shear to strengthen later this evening as the low-level jet intensifies closer to 00Z. This cluster of supercells across southeast Arkansas may eventually congeal into another bowing segment across northern Mississippi with an increased severe wind threat this afternoon. In addition, scattered showers have developed across central Mississippi within the unstable, uncapped airmass. Most of the activity has not had any lightning, indicating it is relatively shallow within the deep moist layer shown by the 12Z JAN RAOB. Recently some lightning has been observed with the deeper storms across eastern Mississippi. It is still unclear whether this activity will congeal into one more more supercells this afternoon/evening. If a mature supercell can develop, the environment would support all severe weather hazards including the potential for a strong tornado. A tornado watch will eventually be needed for this region by late this afternoon to early evening for the storms moving out of northern Louisiana and eastern Arkansas. However, if the storms across central/eastern Mississippi continue to deepen/mature, a tornado watch may be needed sooner. ..Bentley/Guyer.. 04/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK... LAT...LON 32989155 34179118 34829040 35038964 34988798 34688746 33498739 32758785 32288895 32288989 32209110 32399163 32989155 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 124 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0124 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 124 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE MKL TO 25 SSW CKV TO 30 N HOP. ..SUPINIE..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...HUN...LMK...PAH...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 124 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC033-059-077-052340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE KYC003-009-031-047-057-061-141-169-171-213-219-227-052340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN BARREN BUTLER CHRISTIAN CUMBERLAND EDMONSON LOGAN METCALFE MONROE SIMPSON TODD WARREN TNC003-015-021-027-031-037-041-043-055-081-085-087-099-101-111- 117-119-125-133-135-141-147-149-159-165-169-175-177-181-185-187- 189-052340- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more
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