WW 171 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 250355Z - 250900Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 171 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1055 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western and Central Oklahoma Texas Panhandle * Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 1055 PM until 400 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Clusters of strong/severe storms including a few supercells should continue to develop southeastward regionally late tonight, although overall storm intensity should gradually diminish overnight. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles south of Borger TX to 40 miles southeast of Enid OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 167...WW 169...WW 170... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Guyer Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WEST TEXAS AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into West Texas and the Texas Panhandle. ...Synopsis... An mid-level low will move across southern California and into the southern Great Basin on Saturday. As this trough advances east, mid-level ridging across the central CONUS will start to shift east through the day. A mid-level trough will amplify across Ontario and into the Northeast on Saturday and Saturday night. Surface high pressure will move into the Great Lakes in the wake of this trough. As low-pressure develops across the Rockies in response to the eastward advancing mid-level low, the pressure gradient will tighten across the Plains with strengthening southerly flow and northward moisture transport. ...Southern High Plains... As low-pressure develops in the west, a southerly low-level jet will strengthen Friday night and early Saturday morning which will likely lead to widespread storm coverage in the vicinity of a surface front from the Texas Panhandle/southern Oklahoma/northern Texas. This ongoing convection could have significant impacts on northward moisture recovery, and any remnant boundaries could also be a focus for severe weather later in the day Saturday, particularly across the Texas Panhandle and vicinity. Details remain uncertain at this time due to ongoing MCSs this morning and the potential for several additional convective systems Friday and Friday night. However, there is relatively higher confidence in some severe weather threat across far eastern New Mexico, parts of the Texas Panhandle, and adjacent areas. This zone is where the greatest overlap in buoyancy and shear is expected, with some potential for outflow boundaries to be an additional focus for storms on Saturday. A few supercells may be possible with a threat for isolated large hail or wind gusts, and perhaps a tornado. ..Bentley.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WEST TEXAS AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into West Texas and the Texas Panhandle. ...Synopsis... An mid-level low will move across southern California and into the southern Great Basin on Saturday. As this trough advances east, mid-level ridging across the central CONUS will start to shift east through the day. A mid-level trough will amplify across Ontario and into the Northeast on Saturday and Saturday night. Surface high pressure will move into the Great Lakes in the wake of this trough. As low-pressure develops across the Rockies in response to the eastward advancing mid-level low, the pressure gradient will tighten across the Plains with strengthening southerly flow and northward moisture transport. ...Southern High Plains... As low-pressure develops in the west, a southerly low-level jet will strengthen Friday night and early Saturday morning which will likely lead to widespread storm coverage in the vicinity of a surface front from the Texas Panhandle/southern Oklahoma/northern Texas. This ongoing convection could have significant impacts on northward moisture recovery, and any remnant boundaries could also be a focus for severe weather later in the day Saturday, particularly across the Texas Panhandle and vicinity. Details remain uncertain at this time due to ongoing MCSs this morning and the potential for several additional convective systems Friday and Friday night. However, there is relatively higher confidence in some severe weather threat across far eastern New Mexico, parts of the Texas Panhandle, and adjacent areas. This zone is where the greatest overlap in buoyancy and shear is expected, with some potential for outflow boundaries to be an additional focus for storms on Saturday. A few supercells may be possible with a threat for isolated large hail or wind gusts, and perhaps a tornado. ..Bentley.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... By early Saturday evening, a mid-level trough is forecast to arrive over central California, with southwest flow overspreading much of the intermountain West. An intensifying surface cyclone in the Great Basin associated with this trough will be responsible for gusty southerly winds across the southern Rockies into the southern High Plains, resulting in Elevated to locally Critical fire-weather conditions across portions of Arizona and New Mexico. ...Central New Mexico into Eastern Arizona... 20 MPH winds and 10-15% relative humidity (perhaps even dipping into the single-digits across New Mexico) will be responsible for at least Elevated fire-weather concerns, especially given fuels guidance with ERCs already at or exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles. Some locally Critical conditions may occur where local terrain enhancement of the winds are favored, but lack of confidence in widespread 25+ MPH winds based on forecast guidance precludes specific highlights at this time. However, if guidance comes into better agreement, a Critical highlight may be needed for portions of central New Mexico. ..Halbert.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... By early Saturday evening, a mid-level trough is forecast to arrive over central California, with southwest flow overspreading much of the intermountain West. An intensifying surface cyclone in the Great Basin associated with this trough will be responsible for gusty southerly winds across the southern Rockies into the southern High Plains, resulting in Elevated to locally Critical fire-weather conditions across portions of Arizona and New Mexico. ...Central New Mexico into Eastern Arizona... 20 MPH winds and 10-15% relative humidity (perhaps even dipping into the single-digits across New Mexico) will be responsible for at least Elevated fire-weather concerns, especially given fuels guidance with ERCs already at or exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles. Some locally Critical conditions may occur where local terrain enhancement of the winds are favored, but lack of confidence in widespread 25+ MPH winds based on forecast guidance precludes specific highlights at this time. However, if guidance comes into better agreement, a Critical highlight may be needed for portions of central New Mexico. ..Halbert.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... As a mid-level trough approaches the U.S. west coast, and associated southwest flow overspreads the Four Corners into the Great Basin, dry and windy conditions are forecast across much of the southern Rockies into the southern High Plains. ...Central New Mexico into Far Eastern Arizona... Relative humidity of 10-20% and 15-20 MPH winds are expected across much of central and western New Mexico into eastern Arizona this afternoon into the early evening, where current fuels guidance has ERCs at or exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles. Some locally Critical conditions may exist where local topography provides an enhancement of surface winds. ..Halbert.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... As a mid-level trough approaches the U.S. west coast, and associated southwest flow overspreads the Four Corners into the Great Basin, dry and windy conditions are forecast across much of the southern Rockies into the southern High Plains. ...Central New Mexico into Far Eastern Arizona... Relative humidity of 10-20% and 15-20 MPH winds are expected across much of central and western New Mexico into eastern Arizona this afternoon into the early evening, where current fuels guidance has ERCs at or exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles. Some locally Critical conditions may exist where local topography provides an enhancement of surface winds. ..Halbert.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-077-081-083-093-095- 097-101-119-129-135-145-151-155-159-165-171-175-185-187-189- 250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HARPER HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE PRATT RENO RICE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS OKC003-059-151-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA HARPER WOODS Read more

WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-077-081-083-093-095- 097-101-119-129-135-145-151-155-159-165-171-175-185-187-189- 250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HARPER HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE PRATT RENO RICE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS OKC003-059-151-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA HARPER WOODS Read more

WW 170 SEVERE TSTM KS OK 242155Z - 250500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 170 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 455 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest and South-Central Kansas Far Northern Oklahoma * Effective this Thursday afternoon from 455 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Storms will persist with additional development along the Kansas-Oklahoma border vicinity, as well as other parts of west-central Kansas through early evening. Additional storms may eventually move into the region from eastern Colorado, while MCS development could occur along the Kansas/Oklahoma border vicinity. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles west of Garden City KS to 35 miles northeast of Medicine Lodge KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166...WW 167...WW 168...WW 169... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0169 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CAO TO 15 SW PUB TO 20 NW PUB TO 45 N LHX TO 10 WSW ITR TO 30 NW GLD. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-011-017-025-061-063-073-089-099-101-250340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO KSC071-109-199-203-250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GREELEY LOGAN WALLACE WICHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0169 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CAO TO 15 SW PUB TO 20 NW PUB TO 45 N LHX TO 10 WSW ITR TO 30 NW GLD. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-011-017-025-061-063-073-089-099-101-250340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO KSC071-109-199-203-250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GREELEY LOGAN WALLACE WICHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 169 SEVERE TSTM CO 242140Z - 250400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 169 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 440 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern Colorado * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 440 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Additional strong/severe storm development is expected to occur through late afternoon, especially across east-central/southeast Colorado. This will include a combo of multicells and a few supercells with large hail expected to be the most probable severe hazard. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles west northwest of Pueblo CO to 35 miles east of Lamar CO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166...WW 167...WW 168... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0167 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 167 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0553 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-139-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195- 211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437- 483-250340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL Read more

WW 0167 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 167 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0553 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-139-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195- 211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437- 483-250340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL Read more

WW 167 TORNADO OK TX 242035Z - 250400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 167 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 335 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Oklahoma Panhandle Texas Panhandle and South Plains * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 4 inches in diameter likely Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Widely scattered thunderstorms are forecast to rapidly develop this afternoon into the early evening. Environmental shear and buoyancy combinations strongly favor intense, discrete supercells. Large to giant hail will be probable with any supercell. The tornado risk will likely focus for a few hours during the early evening near a residual outflow boundary draped over parts of the Watch area. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northeast of Guymon OK to 60 miles southeast of Lubbock TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29015. ...Smith Read more

WW 0168 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 168 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0549 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-250240- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-043-079-103-105-115-135-151-165-173-219-227-279-317- 329-335-371-383-415-443-445-461-475-495-501-250240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER COCHRAN CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GAINES GLASSCOCK HOCKLEY HOWARD LAMB MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL PECOS REAGAN SCURRY TERRELL TERRY UPTON WARD WINKLER YOAKUM Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0746 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TO SOUTH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening from from eastern Colorado and southwest Kansas into western Oklahoma, the Panhandles and West Texas. Very large hail is possible, along with a few tornadoes. ...Central and southern Plains... Scattered severe storms persist this evening over West TX including the Panhandle, with very large/damaging hail in progress. Other severe cells, some with tornadic circulation, persist over northwest OK within a cluster, also with damaging hail and wind potential. Given the uncapped air mass across most of these areas, storms should persist for a few hours, and the increasing 850 mb winds out of the south may favor right moving supercells. The 00Z AMA sounding confirms the lack of inhibition, showing steep lapse rates through a deep layer. Isolated marginally severe storms also persist over eastern CO, and north of the tornadic northwest OK cluster into southwest KS. For more information, see mesoscale discussions 548, 549, 550, 551. ..Jewell.. 04/25/2025 Read more