SPC Apr 25, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

3 weeks 4 days ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Mon - Southern Plains to Upper Midwest... A strong mid-level jet streak will move rapidly northeastward from the Southwest to the Upper Midwest on Monday. As this occurs, a surface low will deepen and move from the northern Plains to the northern Great Lakes. Strong southwesterly lower tropospheric flow will advect high theta-e air northward across the Midwest and into parts of the Upper Midwest. Broken to scattered cloudcover will support surface heating and strong destabilization across the warm sector from southeast Minnesota and western Wisconsin to the southern Plains. Isolated to scattered supercells are likely along the dryline which will extend from the southern Plains and into Kansas. The greatest focus for severe weather on Monday will be from eastern Kansas into northern Missouri, much of Iowa and into southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Moderate to strong instability, strong shear, and increasing forcing for ascent supports the potential for numerous rounds of severe thunderstorms. The wind profile supports supercells capable of all severe weather hazards including the potential for strong tornadoes. ...Day 5/Tue - Southern Plains to parts of the Northeast... The surface low associated with the Day 4 threat will continue northeast and bring its associated cold front eastward across the Midwest and Great Lakes through the day Tuesday. Moderate to strong instability is forecast south of this front from northern New York to the Ohio Valley. Much of the frontal zone should have sufficient shear to support multiple storm clusters and the potential for a few supercells. Day 6/Wed-Day8/Fri - Portions of the Mid-Mississippi Valley into the Southeast... A weaker mid-level shortwave trough is consistently depicted by extended range guidance by the middle of next week across the southern Plains. However, significant uncertainty remains about the strength of this trough and location of any frontal zones. In addition, convection across the southern Plains each day of the extended range forecast could significantly impact destabilization by Day 6-8. Therefore, confidence is not high enough to add probabilities at this time, but they may eventually be needed somewhere across the Southeast/Mid Mississippi Valley. Read more

SPC Apr 25, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

3 weeks 4 days ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Mon - Southern Plains to Upper Midwest... A strong mid-level jet streak will move rapidly northeastward from the Southwest to the Upper Midwest on Monday. As this occurs, a surface low will deepen and move from the northern Plains to the northern Great Lakes. Strong southwesterly lower tropospheric flow will advect high theta-e air northward across the Midwest and into parts of the Upper Midwest. Broken to scattered cloudcover will support surface heating and strong destabilization across the warm sector from southeast Minnesota and western Wisconsin to the southern Plains. Isolated to scattered supercells are likely along the dryline which will extend from the southern Plains and into Kansas. The greatest focus for severe weather on Monday will be from eastern Kansas into northern Missouri, much of Iowa and into southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Moderate to strong instability, strong shear, and increasing forcing for ascent supports the potential for numerous rounds of severe thunderstorms. The wind profile supports supercells capable of all severe weather hazards including the potential for strong tornadoes. ...Day 5/Tue - Southern Plains to parts of the Northeast... The surface low associated with the Day 4 threat will continue northeast and bring its associated cold front eastward across the Midwest and Great Lakes through the day Tuesday. Moderate to strong instability is forecast south of this front from northern New York to the Ohio Valley. Much of the frontal zone should have sufficient shear to support multiple storm clusters and the potential for a few supercells. Day 6/Wed-Day8/Fri - Portions of the Mid-Mississippi Valley into the Southeast... A weaker mid-level shortwave trough is consistently depicted by extended range guidance by the middle of next week across the southern Plains. However, significant uncertainty remains about the strength of this trough and location of any frontal zones. In addition, convection across the southern Plains each day of the extended range forecast could significantly impact destabilization by Day 6-8. Therefore, confidence is not high enough to add probabilities at this time, but they may eventually be needed somewhere across the Southeast/Mid Mississippi Valley. Read more

SPC Apr 25, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

3 weeks 4 days ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible across the southern High Plains and central Plains Sunday afternoon/evening. Scattered severe storms are possible across the northern Plains and Upper Midwest Sunday evening/night. ...Discussion... A moderately strong mid-level jet streak will extend from the Southwest and into the Central Plains on Sunday as a mid-level trough advances eastward through the Intermountain West. As this occurs, a strong surface cyclone will develop in the central High Plains/northern Plains. This strengthening cyclone will draw richer low-level moisture into the northern Plains while a dryline sharpens across the High Plains. Forecast guidance is consistent showing a sharp dryline extending from southwest Nebraska southward to the Texas Big Bend. Mid to upper 60s dewpoints east of this dryline and strong heating will support moderate to strong instability by Sunday afternoon. Forecast soundings show a weakly capped airmass along the entirety of the dryline. Therefore, weak height falls and a sharp dryline circulation will likely be sufficient for at least isolated supercell development along the dryline. At this time, storm coverage appears too sparse to support greater probabilities, but a favorable environment will support a conditional threat for all severe weather hazards wherever supercells can develop. Farther north, near the surface low, storm coverage probabilities increase due to stronger forcing. A slight risk has been introduced across portions of central Nebraska into southern South Dakota where the greatest potential for late afternoon/evening supercell development exists. As the low-level jet intensifies after 00Z, more widespread thunderstorm development is anticipated along and north of the warm front across the Dakotas and into western Minnesota Sunday night. ..Bentley.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 171 Status Reports

3 weeks 4 days ago
WW 0171 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 171 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE CDS TO 10 NNE CSM TO 40 NW CHK TO 20 NW OKC TO 25 NNE OKC TO 30 WNW CQB. ..BROYLES..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 171 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC015-017-075-083-109-149-250740- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CADDO CANADIAN KIOWA LOGAN OKLAHOMA WASHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 171

3 weeks 4 days ago
WW 171 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 250355Z - 250900Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 171 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1055 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western and Central Oklahoma Texas Panhandle * Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 1055 PM until 400 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Clusters of strong/severe storms including a few supercells should continue to develop southeastward regionally late tonight, although overall storm intensity should gradually diminish overnight. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles south of Borger TX to 40 miles southeast of Enid OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 167...WW 169...WW 170... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Apr 25, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

3 weeks 4 days ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WEST TEXAS AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into West Texas and the Texas Panhandle. ...Synopsis... An mid-level low will move across southern California and into the southern Great Basin on Saturday. As this trough advances east, mid-level ridging across the central CONUS will start to shift east through the day. A mid-level trough will amplify across Ontario and into the Northeast on Saturday and Saturday night. Surface high pressure will move into the Great Lakes in the wake of this trough. As low-pressure develops across the Rockies in response to the eastward advancing mid-level low, the pressure gradient will tighten across the Plains with strengthening southerly flow and northward moisture transport. ...Southern High Plains... As low-pressure develops in the west, a southerly low-level jet will strengthen Friday night and early Saturday morning which will likely lead to widespread storm coverage in the vicinity of a surface front from the Texas Panhandle/southern Oklahoma/northern Texas. This ongoing convection could have significant impacts on northward moisture recovery, and any remnant boundaries could also be a focus for severe weather later in the day Saturday, particularly across the Texas Panhandle and vicinity. Details remain uncertain at this time due to ongoing MCSs this morning and the potential for several additional convective systems Friday and Friday night. However, there is relatively higher confidence in some severe weather threat across far eastern New Mexico, parts of the Texas Panhandle, and adjacent areas. This zone is where the greatest overlap in buoyancy and shear is expected, with some potential for outflow boundaries to be an additional focus for storms on Saturday. A few supercells may be possible with a threat for isolated large hail or wind gusts, and perhaps a tornado. ..Bentley.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 25, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

3 weeks 4 days ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WEST TEXAS AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into West Texas and the Texas Panhandle. ...Synopsis... An mid-level low will move across southern California and into the southern Great Basin on Saturday. As this trough advances east, mid-level ridging across the central CONUS will start to shift east through the day. A mid-level trough will amplify across Ontario and into the Northeast on Saturday and Saturday night. Surface high pressure will move into the Great Lakes in the wake of this trough. As low-pressure develops across the Rockies in response to the eastward advancing mid-level low, the pressure gradient will tighten across the Plains with strengthening southerly flow and northward moisture transport. ...Southern High Plains... As low-pressure develops in the west, a southerly low-level jet will strengthen Friday night and early Saturday morning which will likely lead to widespread storm coverage in the vicinity of a surface front from the Texas Panhandle/southern Oklahoma/northern Texas. This ongoing convection could have significant impacts on northward moisture recovery, and any remnant boundaries could also be a focus for severe weather later in the day Saturday, particularly across the Texas Panhandle and vicinity. Details remain uncertain at this time due to ongoing MCSs this morning and the potential for several additional convective systems Friday and Friday night. However, there is relatively higher confidence in some severe weather threat across far eastern New Mexico, parts of the Texas Panhandle, and adjacent areas. This zone is where the greatest overlap in buoyancy and shear is expected, with some potential for outflow boundaries to be an additional focus for storms on Saturday. A few supercells may be possible with a threat for isolated large hail or wind gusts, and perhaps a tornado. ..Bentley.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

3 weeks 4 days ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... By early Saturday evening, a mid-level trough is forecast to arrive over central California, with southwest flow overspreading much of the intermountain West. An intensifying surface cyclone in the Great Basin associated with this trough will be responsible for gusty southerly winds across the southern Rockies into the southern High Plains, resulting in Elevated to locally Critical fire-weather conditions across portions of Arizona and New Mexico. ...Central New Mexico into Eastern Arizona... 20 MPH winds and 10-15% relative humidity (perhaps even dipping into the single-digits across New Mexico) will be responsible for at least Elevated fire-weather concerns, especially given fuels guidance with ERCs already at or exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles. Some locally Critical conditions may occur where local terrain enhancement of the winds are favored, but lack of confidence in widespread 25+ MPH winds based on forecast guidance precludes specific highlights at this time. However, if guidance comes into better agreement, a Critical highlight may be needed for portions of central New Mexico. ..Halbert.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

3 weeks 4 days ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...Synopsis... By early Saturday evening, a mid-level trough is forecast to arrive over central California, with southwest flow overspreading much of the intermountain West. An intensifying surface cyclone in the Great Basin associated with this trough will be responsible for gusty southerly winds across the southern Rockies into the southern High Plains, resulting in Elevated to locally Critical fire-weather conditions across portions of Arizona and New Mexico. ...Central New Mexico into Eastern Arizona... 20 MPH winds and 10-15% relative humidity (perhaps even dipping into the single-digits across New Mexico) will be responsible for at least Elevated fire-weather concerns, especially given fuels guidance with ERCs already at or exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles. Some locally Critical conditions may occur where local terrain enhancement of the winds are favored, but lack of confidence in widespread 25+ MPH winds based on forecast guidance precludes specific highlights at this time. However, if guidance comes into better agreement, a Critical highlight may be needed for portions of central New Mexico. ..Halbert.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 weeks 4 days ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... As a mid-level trough approaches the U.S. west coast, and associated southwest flow overspreads the Four Corners into the Great Basin, dry and windy conditions are forecast across much of the southern Rockies into the southern High Plains. ...Central New Mexico into Far Eastern Arizona... Relative humidity of 10-20% and 15-20 MPH winds are expected across much of central and western New Mexico into eastern Arizona this afternoon into the early evening, where current fuels guidance has ERCs at or exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles. Some locally Critical conditions may exist where local topography provides an enhancement of surface winds. ..Halbert.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 weeks 4 days ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... As a mid-level trough approaches the U.S. west coast, and associated southwest flow overspreads the Four Corners into the Great Basin, dry and windy conditions are forecast across much of the southern Rockies into the southern High Plains. ...Central New Mexico into Far Eastern Arizona... Relative humidity of 10-20% and 15-20 MPH winds are expected across much of central and western New Mexico into eastern Arizona this afternoon into the early evening, where current fuels guidance has ERCs at or exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles. Some locally Critical conditions may exist where local topography provides an enhancement of surface winds. ..Halbert.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Apr 25, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

3 weeks 4 days ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 25, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

3 weeks 4 days ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170 Status Reports

3 weeks 4 days ago
WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-077-081-083-093-095- 097-101-119-129-135-145-151-155-159-165-171-175-185-187-189- 250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HARPER HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE PRATT RENO RICE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS OKC003-059-151-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA HARPER WOODS Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170 Status Reports

3 weeks 4 days ago
WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-077-081-083-093-095- 097-101-119-129-135-145-151-155-159-165-171-175-185-187-189- 250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HARPER HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE PRATT RENO RICE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS OKC003-059-151-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA HARPER WOODS Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170

3 weeks 4 days ago
WW 170 SEVERE TSTM KS OK 242155Z - 250500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 170 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 455 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest and South-Central Kansas Far Northern Oklahoma * Effective this Thursday afternoon from 455 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Storms will persist with additional development along the Kansas-Oklahoma border vicinity, as well as other parts of west-central Kansas through early evening. Additional storms may eventually move into the region from eastern Colorado, while MCS development could occur along the Kansas/Oklahoma border vicinity. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles west of Garden City KS to 35 miles northeast of Medicine Lodge KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166...WW 167...WW 168...WW 169... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25025. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 169 Status Reports

3 weeks 4 days ago
WW 0169 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CAO TO 15 SW PUB TO 20 NW PUB TO 45 N LHX TO 10 WSW ITR TO 30 NW GLD. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-011-017-025-061-063-073-089-099-101-250340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO KSC071-109-199-203-250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GREELEY LOGAN WALLACE WICHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 169 Status Reports

3 weeks 4 days ago
WW 0169 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CAO TO 15 SW PUB TO 20 NW PUB TO 45 N LHX TO 10 WSW ITR TO 30 NW GLD. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-011-017-025-061-063-073-089-099-101-250340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO KSC071-109-199-203-250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GREELEY LOGAN WALLACE WICHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 169

3 weeks 4 days ago
WW 169 SEVERE TSTM CO 242140Z - 250400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 169 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 440 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern Colorado * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 440 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Additional strong/severe storm development is expected to occur through late afternoon, especially across east-central/southeast Colorado. This will include a combo of multicells and a few supercells with large hail expected to be the most probable severe hazard. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles west northwest of Pueblo CO to 35 miles east of Lamar CO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166...WW 167...WW 168... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 167 Status Reports

3 weeks 4 days ago
WW 0167 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 167 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0553 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-139-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195- 211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437- 483-250340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL Read more
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