WW 0197 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 197 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE DAL TO 50 E DAL TO 10 S PRX TO 35 WNW DEQ TO 25 NW RKR TO 15 N MKO. ..LEITMAN..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 197 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC019-033-051-057-059-061-073-081-083-091-097-099-109-113-127- 131-133-149-301940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK CRAWFORD GARLAND HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN MILLER MONTGOMERY NEVADA PIKE POLK SCOTT SEBASTIAN SEVIER YELL OKC079-089-135-301940- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LE FLORE MCCURTAIN SEQUOYAH TXC037-063-067-159-183-203-223-257-315-343-379-387-423-449-459- 467-499-301940- Read more

WW 197 TORNADO AR OK TX 301450Z - 302200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 197 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 950 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western Arkansas Southeast Oklahoma Northeast Texas * Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 950 AM until 500 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms over southern Oklahoma and north Texas will track eastward today across the watch area. Locally damaging wind gusts are possible along the line along with brief tornadoes. Other severe storms capable of tornadoes may form ahead of the line by early afternoon. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles east northeast of Poteau OK to 85 miles south of Paris TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24030. ...Hart Read more

WW 0198 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0198 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1226 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION SOUTHWESTWARD TO CENTRAL TEXAS...AND ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Strong/locally severe thunderstorm development is expected from parts of the southern Plains into the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys, and northeastward to the Lower Great Lakes Thursday. Thunderstorms will pose a risk for strong to severe winds and hail. ...Lower Great Lakes region southwestward to Texas... A lead mid-level short-wave trough is forecast to sweep across the Midwest/Ohio Valley area Thursday, ahead of a second/stronger trough digging southeastward across the north-central states. This lead trough will support surface cyclogenesis, as a low shifts from the Illinois vicinity across northern Indiana and into Lower Michigan by evening. As this occurs, a trailing cold front is forecast to advance eastward across the Ohio Valley area, while trailing westward across central Texas to the Rio Grande Valley. Ahead of this front, a seasonably moist low-level airmass will heat/destabilize, supporting scattered storm development within an elongated zone near and ahead of the boundary. Greater instability will evolve across Texas and the Arklatex region, but weaker forcing and a weakly capped boundary layer should limit storm coverage. A few storms may also develop over the higher terrain of Mexico, and move across the lower Rio Grande Valley. Any storm developing across this region will prove capable of producing large hail, and locally strong gusts. Farther northeastward, from the Mid Mississippi Valley area to the Lower Great Lakes, lesser instability but stronger flow aloft suggests potential for locally damaging winds with stronger storms, and possibly marginal hail in a few locales. The risk across this area should diminish through the evening. ...Southern Oklahoma into North Texas... Evening/overnight storm development appears likely across the western North Texas/southwestern Oklahoma vicinity Thursday night, in a zone of warm advection near/north of the remnant surface front. Steep lapse rates and moderate westerlies aloft will combine to support potential for a few supercells, most likely elevated atop a shallow/stable boundary layer. Very large hail would be the primary risk, but particularly if storms can congeal into a quasi-linear MCS, locally damaging wind gusts could also be possible. ..Goss.. 04/30/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1226 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION SOUTHWESTWARD TO CENTRAL TEXAS...AND ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Strong/locally severe thunderstorm development is expected from parts of the southern Plains into the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys, and northeastward to the Lower Great Lakes Thursday. Thunderstorms will pose a risk for strong to severe winds and hail. ...Lower Great Lakes region southwestward to Texas... A lead mid-level short-wave trough is forecast to sweep across the Midwest/Ohio Valley area Thursday, ahead of a second/stronger trough digging southeastward across the north-central states. This lead trough will support surface cyclogenesis, as a low shifts from the Illinois vicinity across northern Indiana and into Lower Michigan by evening. As this occurs, a trailing cold front is forecast to advance eastward across the Ohio Valley area, while trailing westward across central Texas to the Rio Grande Valley. Ahead of this front, a seasonably moist low-level airmass will heat/destabilize, supporting scattered storm development within an elongated zone near and ahead of the boundary. Greater instability will evolve across Texas and the Arklatex region, but weaker forcing and a weakly capped boundary layer should limit storm coverage. A few storms may also develop over the higher terrain of Mexico, and move across the lower Rio Grande Valley. Any storm developing across this region will prove capable of producing large hail, and locally strong gusts. Farther northeastward, from the Mid Mississippi Valley area to the Lower Great Lakes, lesser instability but stronger flow aloft suggests potential for locally damaging winds with stronger storms, and possibly marginal hail in a few locales. The risk across this area should diminish through the evening. ...Southern Oklahoma into North Texas... Evening/overnight storm development appears likely across the western North Texas/southwestern Oklahoma vicinity Thursday night, in a zone of warm advection near/north of the remnant surface front. Steep lapse rates and moderate westerlies aloft will combine to support potential for a few supercells, most likely elevated atop a shallow/stable boundary layer. Very large hail would be the primary risk, but particularly if storms can congeal into a quasi-linear MCS, locally damaging wind gusts could also be possible. ..Goss.. 04/30/2025 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 301700Z - 011200Z Offshore flow within a dry, post-frontal air mass will continue across the Mid-Atlantic region today. Fuels remain particularly dry across a corridor from the Delmarva Peninsula to Connecticut where rainfall was minimized associated with yesterday's cold front. Northwest winds of 10-15 mph and relative humidity dropping 30 percent this afternoon over dry fuels supported addition Elevated highlights. Otherwise, forecast for West Texas and Florida remains on track (see below), with elevated fire weather conditions expected today. ..Williams.. 04/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... A low-latitude midlevel trough will cross the southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains during the day. Within the base of the trough, moderate-strong deep-layer westerly flow will overspread a deeply mixed post-dryline air mass across southeast NM into the Trans-Pecos. Sustained westerly surface winds around 20 mph coupled with 10 percent RH will favor elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions. Farther east, breezy easterly surface winds (around 10-15 mph) will develop amid 30 percent RH across parts of southern and central FL during the afternoon -- along the southwestern periphery of the Bermuda High. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Dry/offshore flow is expected across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states today, which may promote locally elevated fire-weather conditions. However, a modest pressure gradient and marginal surface winds (around 10-15 mph) should generally limit the fire-weather risk. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 301700Z - 011200Z Offshore flow within a dry, post-frontal air mass will continue across the Mid-Atlantic region today. Fuels remain particularly dry across a corridor from the Delmarva Peninsula to Connecticut where rainfall was minimized associated with yesterday's cold front. Northwest winds of 10-15 mph and relative humidity dropping 30 percent this afternoon over dry fuels supported addition Elevated highlights. Otherwise, forecast for West Texas and Florida remains on track (see below), with elevated fire weather conditions expected today. ..Williams.. 04/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... A low-latitude midlevel trough will cross the southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains during the day. Within the base of the trough, moderate-strong deep-layer westerly flow will overspread a deeply mixed post-dryline air mass across southeast NM into the Trans-Pecos. Sustained westerly surface winds around 20 mph coupled with 10 percent RH will favor elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions. Farther east, breezy easterly surface winds (around 10-15 mph) will develop amid 30 percent RH across parts of southern and central FL during the afternoon -- along the southwestern periphery of the Bermuda High. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Dry/offshore flow is expected across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states today, which may promote locally elevated fire-weather conditions. However, a modest pressure gradient and marginal surface winds (around 10-15 mph) should generally limit the fire-weather risk. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 301630Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SMALL PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA.... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST-CENTRAL MISSOURI ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS INTO SOUTHERN INDIANA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on later today into this evening from the southern Plains into the Lower Ohio Valley, with the greatest risk expected across the ArkLaTex region. A few tornadoes are all possible, with some strong-tornado potential. Damaging winds and large hail are also possible. ...Northeast TX/Southeast OK/Northwest LA... A large, organized MCS is tracking eastward across southeast OK and northeast TX. The leading edge of the MCS is moving into a very moist environment with dewpoints in the upper 60s to lower 70s, beneath moderately steep mid-level lapse rates. Backed surface winds and a convectively-enhanced corridor of southerly winds in the 1-3km layer (shown in FWD VAD and CAM solutions) are contributing to favorable shear profiles for storm organization and rotation. QLCS spinups along the line will be possible through the day. Forecast soundings suggest a rather weak cap atop a nearly saturated boundary-layer. This would also suggest concern for discrete convective initiation ahead of the line over northeast TX, with tornado risk as well. Locally damaging wind gusts will also be a concern through the afternoon and early evening across the region. ...Southern IL/IN... A surface warm front is lifting northward across southern IL/IN today, with clearing skies and increasing insolation across the area. Most morning model solutions show scattered thunderstorm development near the front, track northeastward toward central IN by evening. Forecast soundings suggest a risk of a few supercells capable of large hail, damaging winds, and a tornado or two. ...West TX into southwest OK... Visible satellite imagery shows decreasing low clouds and increasing destabilization across parts of west TX. This area will likely see widely scattered thunderstorm development later this afternoon. Steep mid-level lapse rates, sufficient CAPE, and favorable deep-layer shear will promote a risk of large hail in the stronger cells. ..Hart/Wendt.. 04/30/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 301630Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SMALL PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA.... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST-CENTRAL MISSOURI ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS INTO SOUTHERN INDIANA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on later today into this evening from the southern Plains into the Lower Ohio Valley, with the greatest risk expected across the ArkLaTex region. A few tornadoes are all possible, with some strong-tornado potential. Damaging winds and large hail are also possible. ...Northeast TX/Southeast OK/Northwest LA... A large, organized MCS is tracking eastward across southeast OK and northeast TX. The leading edge of the MCS is moving into a very moist environment with dewpoints in the upper 60s to lower 70s, beneath moderately steep mid-level lapse rates. Backed surface winds and a convectively-enhanced corridor of southerly winds in the 1-3km layer (shown in FWD VAD and CAM solutions) are contributing to favorable shear profiles for storm organization and rotation. QLCS spinups along the line will be possible through the day. Forecast soundings suggest a rather weak cap atop a nearly saturated boundary-layer. This would also suggest concern for discrete convective initiation ahead of the line over northeast TX, with tornado risk as well. Locally damaging wind gusts will also be a concern through the afternoon and early evening across the region. ...Southern IL/IN... A surface warm front is lifting northward across southern IL/IN today, with clearing skies and increasing insolation across the area. Most morning model solutions show scattered thunderstorm development near the front, track northeastward toward central IN by evening. Forecast soundings suggest a risk of a few supercells capable of large hail, damaging winds, and a tornado or two. ...West TX into southwest OK... Visible satellite imagery shows decreasing low clouds and increasing destabilization across parts of west TX. This area will likely see widely scattered thunderstorm development later this afternoon. Steep mid-level lapse rates, sufficient CAPE, and favorable deep-layer shear will promote a risk of large hail in the stronger cells. ..Hart/Wendt.. 04/30/2025 Read more

MD 0617 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTH TX INTO FAR SOUTHEAST OK
Mesoscale Discussion 0617 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0907 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Areas affected...North TX into far southeast OK Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 301407Z - 301600Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...A slow-moving bow will continue to move east across the Red River vicinity of southeast OK and northeast TX the next few hours. Sporadic strong gusts may occur in the short term. DISCUSSION...An organized bow extending from south-central OK into north TX this morning will continue to slowly shift east the remainder of the morning. Some occasional intensification with embedded cells, especially on the southern portions of the bow, as been noted over the past hour. A gust to 47 kt was most recently measured in Wise County TX. Downstream from this activity, upper 60s F dewpoints are in place and some filtered heating into far northeast TX is likely to occur, through much of the area will be cloudy with limited heating the next few hours. Nevertheless, 12z RAOB from FWD indicated very steep midlevel lapse rates greater than 8 C/km above an EML around 700 mb, supporting modest MLCAPE. While severe potential should remain somewhat limited in the short term, a gradual increase in severe potential is expected into midday. Favorable vertical shear will support rotating cells within the line and perhaps developing ahead of the line later today. A new watch will likely be needed by midday, through timing is a bit uncertain given ongoing convection and a slowly destabilizing downstream airmass. ..Leitman/Hart.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 33109828 33789723 34219658 34409574 34459510 34399474 34209459 33349460 32679526 32389609 32219721 32349776 32609813 33109828 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

WW 0197 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0197 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0736 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 301300Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO SOUTHWEST OK AND THE ARKLATEX... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST-CENTRAL MO ACROSS SOUTHERN IL INTO SOUTHERN IN... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on later today into this evening from the southern Plains into the Lower Ohio Valley, with the greatest risk expected across north-central Texas into the ArkLaTex region. Large to very large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes are all possible, with some strong-tornado potential. ...Synopsis... Early morning satellite imagery shows a mature convective complex over western OK and northwest TX, another decaying convective complex over southern MO, and a shortwave trough moving across the Southwest. Recent surface analysis shows a mesolow associated with western OK/northwest TX MCS over the SPS vicinity, with another, more substantial low back southwest near SNK. An outflow boundary from prior convection extends from south-central OK through southeastern OK before becoming more diffuse and merging with the stationary front over central AR. The ongoing MCS is forecast to continue eastward/northeastward throughout the day while the Southwest shortwave progresses into the southern High Plains. Farther east, the stationary front that extends from AR into the Mid-Atlantic is expected to begin translating back northward as a warm front. ...North TX/Southern OK into the Arklatex and Mid-South... The well-organized MCS currently tracking across southwest OK and northwest TX is forecast to continue east-northeastward throughout much of the period. The northern portion of this system will likely remain progressive, moving through southern OK and north TX. Damaging gusts and occasional hail will be possible with this system throughout much of its lifecycle. Buoyancy decreases with eastern extent, so the system should begin to lose intensity, but its organized character limits the predictability of where that will occur. Not only that, but downstream destabilization could lead to potential reintensification/redevelopment along the outflow during the late afternoon. Vertical shear will be modest, suggesting reorganization into a severe convective line appears unlikely. The southwestern portion of this MCS is expected to trail behind the more forward-progression portion as it becomes more parallel to the deep-layer shear vector. This orientation would likely keep deep convection out of central/northeast TX before this afternoon. Storm development appears probable across central TX as the surface low and associated dryline shifts eastward ahead of the Southwest shortwave trough. Development is possible ahead of this dryline within the destabilized warm sector over northeast TX as well. Lapse rates will be modest, but ample low-level moisture will still result in moderate to strong buoyancy during the afternoon. Additionally, a belt of stronger low-level flow is anticipated to persist, supporting strong low-level shear and veering low-level hodographs. The conditions support the potential for supercells capable of all severe hazards, including tornadoes. Eventual storm clustering could lead to development of a nocturnal MCS that could eventually approach parts of the lower MS Valley, with at least an isolated severe threat. ...West TX into Northwest TX/Southwest OK... Additional strong to severe storms will be possible across parts of west TX, in closer proximity to shortwave trough moving across the southern High Plains. Cold temperatures aloft and steep lapse rates will support a threat of hail and localized severe gusts, even though deep-layer flow/shear will be more modest within this regime. These storms may eventually spread toward southwest OK/northwest TX before weakening. ...Parts of MS/OH Valleys... Afternoon thunderstorm development is anticipated amid modest low-level moisture advection in the wake of the convective cluster currently moving through southwest MO. Modest buoyancy and shear across the region suggest there is some potential for at least transient storm organization in the vicinity of the frontal zone, with an attendant threat for hail, locally damaging wind, and possibly a tornado. ...Southern VA/northern NC... Scattered storm development will be possible near the front across parts of VA/NC. Deep-layer flow/shear will generally be weak, but steep low-level lapse rates could support locally damaging outflow winds with the strongest storms. ..Mosier/Jewell.. 04/30/2025 Read more

WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW SPS TO 35 S SPS TO 40 ESE SPS TO 30 WSW ADM TO 25 NW ADM TO 10 S OKC. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-069-077-085-095-099-121-123-127- 301340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN JOHNSTON LATIMER LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY PITTSBURG PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA TXC097-147-181-237-277-337-363-429-497-503-301340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON JACK LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO STEPHENS WISE YOUNG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Apr 30 11:45:08 UTC 2025.

WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S CDS TO 50 SE CDS TO 50 SSW LTS TO 25 SSW LTS TO 5 NNW LTS TO 10 SW CSM. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-019-023-029-031-033-049-065-067-069-075-085-095-099- 123-127-137-141-301140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHOCTAW COAL COMANCHE COTTON GARVIN JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KIOWA LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA STEPHENS TILLMAN TXC009-023-077-097-147-181-237-275-277-337-363-429-485-487-497- 503-301140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON JACK KNOX LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO STEPHENS Read more

WW 196 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 300555Z - 301300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 196 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest and South-Central Oklahoma Northwest and North-Central Texas * Effective this Wednesday morning from 1255 AM until 800 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to persist throughout the night in the vicinity of an outflow boundary that extends across the region. Hail will be the primary risk with this more cellular development. There is also some potential for the storms in west TX to evolve into an organized line segment that could progress across the region later. Damaging gusts would be the primary risk with this more linear activity. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles south southwest of Altus OK to 30 miles south southeast of Mcalester OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 194...WW 195... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Mosier Read more

WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-019-023-029-031-033-049-055-057-065-067-069-075-085- 095-099-123-127-137-141-300940- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHOCTAW COAL COMANCHE COTTON GARVIN GREER HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KIOWA LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA STEPHENS TILLMAN TXC009-023-077-097-147-155-181-197-237-275-277-337-363-429-485- 487-497-503-300940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY COOKE FANNIN FOARD GRAYSON HARDEMAN JACK KNOX LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO STEPHENS WICHITA Read more

WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-300940- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219- 227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441- 445-447-495-501-300940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FISHER GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY HOWARD JONES KENT KING LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON Read more

WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-300940- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219- 227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441- 445-447-495-501-300940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FISHER GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY HOWARD JONES KENT KING LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON Read more

WW 195 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 300350Z - 301100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 195 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1050 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast New Mexico West Texas * Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 1050 PM until 600 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to redevelop across the region the remainder of the evening into the overnight, with large hail as the most common hazard. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles south southwest of Hobbs NM to 50 miles north of Abilene TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 194... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 23030. ...Guyer Read more